Winter Weather Outlook 2024-2025: Boston Metro Area By New England Weather Consulting
As the winter season approaches, many in the Boston metro area are eager to know what’s in store. Will we see above-average snowfall? A mild winter? New England Weather Consulting is here with the forecast, tailored specifically for Greater Boston and the surrounding communities.
Overview
The winter of 2024-2025 in the Boston metro area is expected to be dynamic, with temperature and precipitation patterns influenced by a strong El Niño. For New England, a typical El Niño winter can mean a mix of warmer temperatures and increased precipitation, but the intensity and timing can vary. Here’s what we anticipate this year:
Temperatures: Warmer than average
Snowfall: Near to slightly below average
Storm Frequency: Potentially fewer but stronger systems
Let’s dive into the details.
Temperature Outlook
Boston is expected to see warmer-than-average temperatures, particularly in December and January. Current NOAA data and sea surface temperature anomalies in the Pacific indicate a strong El Niño phase. El Niño winters often bring a milder pattern to the Northeast, though brief cold snaps are still likely, especially in late January and early February.
Temperature Projections:
December: +2°F to +4°F above average
January: +1°F to +3°F above average
February: Near normal, with potential for brief colder periods
Map: Temperature Anomaly Projections for Winter 2024-2025 (Image credit: NOAA)
Snowfall Outlook
For snow lovers, there’s both good and bad news. While a mild winter can reduce snowfall, the strong El Niño can bring intense coastal storms with heavy snowfall rates. Boston typically sees around 49 inches of snow each season, but we’re expecting totals closer to 40-45 inches this year. This will largely depend on the storm tracks, which can be unpredictable in an El Niño year.
The best chance for significant snowfall will be with nor’easters that track close enough to the coast to pull in cold air. The highest snow totals are expected inland from the I-495 corridor, with more rain/snow mix events likely near the immediate coast.
Monthly Snowfall Estimates:
December: Below average snowfall (less than 5 inches)
January: Near average (10-15 inches)
February: Slightly above average (15-20 inches)
March: Average to slightly below average (6-8 inches)
Precipitation and Storms
With warmer sea surface temperatures fueling the atmosphere, we expect Boston to experience higher-than-normal precipitation this winter. The frequency of storms may be slightly lower, but those that do develop are likely to be stronger. Look for several rain-heavy nor’easters, which could bring flooding risks to coastal and low-lying areas.
December and January: Expect more rain/mix events.
February: Higher chance of snow as cold air entrenches.
March: Potential for heavy, wet snow toward early March, with a rainier pattern later.
Key Data Points
Average Winter Temperature in Boston: Projected to be 1.5-2.5°F above normal.
Total Snowfall: 40-45 inches (average: ~49 inches).
Precipitation: 110-125% of average
(Image credit: NOAA)
Preparation Tips for Boston Metro Residents
Salt and Ice Control: Prepare for a mix of ice, slush, and snow. With more rain/snow mix events, managing ice could be crucial this winter.
Flood Preparedness: Coastal residents should prepare for potential flooding during stronger coastal storms, especially in areas prone to nor’easter-driven high tides.
Heating and Insulation: Even with warmer-than-normal temperatures, brief cold snaps will still occur, so be prepared for quick temperature swings.
Closing Thoughts
The 2024-2025 winter season in Boston will likely bring a mix of mild periods interspersed with intense storms. Snowfall may be slightly below normal overall, but a few significant events could still bring impactful snow totals. As always, stay updated with trusted local sources for the latest on each approaching storm.
For those in landscaping, snow removal, and property management, be prepared for variable conditions, as rapid temperature changes and mixed-precipitation events could present unique challenges.
Stay safe, and here’s to a manageable winter season!
Brought to you by New England Weather Consulting
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