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Rain First, Then Clearing Rain is moving into New England today and will be with us into Thursday morning. For most of the region, it’s scattered showers. But in southern New England — Connecticut, Rhode Island, and southeastern Massachusetts — the rain will be steadier and heavier , adding up to 1–1.5 inches  before tapering off by mid-morning Thursday. Northern and central New England will see less rain, closer to a half inch or less, with the bulk falling overnight. The morning commute in Boston and Providence could be slow thanks to some localized ponding on roads. And again — this rain isn’t from Hurricane Erin.  It’s from a separate front sweeping through. Hurricane Erin’s Update Now, about Erin. The storm is sitting offshore as a Category 2 hurricane  with winds in the 95–100 mph range . Guidance keeps showing a slightly westward track , meaning the storm is closer to the East Coast than earlier forecasts suggested, but still not making landfall. North Carolina’s Outer Banks (Cape Hatteras)  is already under a mandatory evacuation  because of flooding, even though Erin’s center stays offshore. The storm should hold Cat 2 strength into the weekend before weakening as it encounters cooler waters. The latest National Hurricane Center cone, showing Erin staying offshore but uncomfortably close for the Mid-Atlantic coast. Ocean Impacts Here in New England Even though Erin won’t bring us rain or wind, the ocean tells another story. Wave heights : Seas are already 7–10 feet south of New England. By Thursday, they’ll build to 14–16 feet , and by Friday into Saturday those big swells push up into the Gulf of Maine . Rip currents : The risk is high right through Sunday . If you’re thinking about swimming in the ocean — don’t. Boating : Harbor masters along Cape Cod, the Islands, and coastal Maine are strongly recommending people haul boats out of the water or at least tie them up in safe harbor until conditions calm down. WaveWatch III output shows wave heights building Thursday and peaking Friday into Saturday across the Gulf of Maine. Why Erin Stays Offshore So why doesn’t Erin turn inland? The steering setup is key. A ridge over the Mid-Atlantic  and a trough over the Great Lakes  are keeping Erin on a northeast track, running parallel to the coast. Both the GFS and European ensembles  keep it offshore, with no sign of a direct hit. The storm simply rides the boundary, then weakens over cooler waters as it moves out to sea. Bottom Line Rain:  Scattered today and tonight, tapering off Thursday. Heaviest totals south (CT/RI/SE MA). Erin:  Stays offshore, remains a Cat 2 for a couple more days. Coastal impact:  Big waves, dangerous rip currents, and hazardous boating conditions through Sunday. If you’re inland, this week’s story is rain tonight and a nice break by the weekend. If you’re near the water, the story is the ocean — stay off the beaches and play it safe with boats. Stay Ahead with Local Forecasting This is the type of detailed, local weather analysis we provide every day at New England Weather Consulting . From hyper-local neighborhood forecasts to decision support for snow removal, municipalities, and event planning, we bridge the gap between advanced meteorological science and real-world decision-making.

If you've been waiting for summer to finally settle into New England, your patience is about to be rewarded—but not without challenges. A pro longed stretch of hot, humid, and at times dangerous  weather is moving in, starting Thursday and likely continuing well into next week. This incoming pattern will bring heat indices well into the upper 90s and even low 100s across much of southern New England, especially inland. Thursday: A Sweltering Start with Thunderstorm Risks Thursday could be the hottest day of the year so far  for many communities. High temperatures will soar into the 90s away from the coast, with dew points in the 70s making it feel like 97–105°F  in the Merrimack and Connecticut River Valleys, as well as the I-95 corridor. A Heat Advisory  is in effect, and outdoor workers, event organizers, and municipalities should take precautions: hydrate, take breaks, and check in on vulnerable populations. Heat Advisory Issued: High temperatures are expected for central and eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and northern Connecticut areas. Later in the day, strong to severe thunderstorms  are expected to develop between 3 and 9 PM , particularly west of I-95. These storms could bring: Damaging wind gusts Torrential downpours Frequent lightning Isolated hail or even a brief tornado Scattered severe storms, including damaging winds and heavy rain, are possible Thursday afternoon across parts of the area, with the highest risk from 4 to 10 PM. Areas in yellow should particularly stay alert for isolated tornadoes and large hail If you have outdoor plans Thursday evening, keep a close eye on the radar and have a backup indoor location ready. Friday & Saturday: Brief Relief Before the Heat Builds Again Behind Thursday’s cold front, Friday will be drier and breezy , with highs in the 80s and gusts up to 40 mph, especially in higher elevations. Saturday looks more unsettled, with a chance of scattered showers or a thunderstorm later in the day. Sunday Through Mid-Next Week: Long-Duration Heat Wave Likely Starting Sunday, ensemble model guidance shows a powerful upper-level ridge  building over the Northeast. This will lock in a stretch of oppressive heat and humidity , with little nighttime relief . The heat risk could rise into the High Category  early next week—especially Monday and Tuesday—even reaching the Cape and Islands  by Tuesday. This kind of pattern increases risk for heat-related illnesses, particularly for older adults, those without A/C, and people working or exercising outdoors. National Weather Service Alerts: Extreme heat and humidity expected next week, with highest temperatures on Monday and Tuesday. High risk of heat-related illnesses, especially for vulnerable groups. Stay informed and take precautions. Want Weather That Works for You? Don’t rely on generic apps or broad forecasts when the stakes are high. Whether you're managing outdoor crews, planning events, or running a weather-sensitive operation, New England Weather Consulting  provides hyper-local, personalized forecasts  and direct access to a professional meteorologist who understands your needs. 👉 Click here to subscribe  and get ahead of the heat, storms, and uncertainty this summer. Be prepared. Be informed. Be weather smart—with forecasts built just  for you.

Weather can be unpredictable, especially on weekends when outdoor activities are often planned. Being prepared for changing weather conditions can enhance your weekend experience, whether you’re planning a hike, a picnic, or simply enjoying time at home. Here’s how you can stay ready for whatever the weekend weather has in store. Understanding Weekend Weather Patterns Weekend weather patterns can vary significantly from one week to the next. Seasonal changes, geographical factors, and even local phenomena can influence what you might experience. For instance, summer weekends may bring thunderstorms, while winters can surprise you with sudden snow. Understanding these patterns can help you anticipate changes and make informed decisions about your plans. In the summer, thunderstorms may develop rapidly, with the National Weather Service reporting that more than 10 million people experience lightning-related injuries annually. During autumn, you might face unpredictable temperature swings, whereas spring can bring a mix of rain and sun. Winter commonly introduces icy roads and unexpected snowfalls, making a reliable weekend snow forecast essential for safety. Checking Reliable Weather Sources To stay updated, regularly check reliable weather forecasting sources. Websites, apps, and local news channels can provide real-time weather updates. Use apps like The Weather Channel, AccuWeather, or NOAA Weather Radar, which are designed explicitly for timely notifications and detailed forecasts. Local weather stations often offer the most accurate forecasts tailored to your area. Consider signing up for weather alerts through these sources so you can receive push notifications about important changes, such as severe thunderstorm warnings or sudden drops in temperature. Preparing a Weekend Weather Kit A weekend weather kit is an essential tool that can make adverse weather more manageable. It should include various items based on the typical weather conditions for your region. Here’s a list of recommendations: Waterproof jacket : A lightweight raincoat can keep you dry if the forecast predicts rain. Extra clothing : Pack layers, including a warm sweater or thermal wear, to adapt to changing temperatures. First-aid supplies : Always be prepared for minor injuries when you’re outdoors. Emergency blanket : Lightweight and compact, these can provide warmth in the case of sudden temperature drops. Portable charger : Ensure your phone stays charged for emergencies and navigation, especially in remote areas. Engaging in outdoor activities can be fun, but safety is paramount. A well-equipped weather kit enhances your experience and protects you from unexpected weather changes. Adapting Your Plans Flexibility in your weekend plans is key to managing unpredictable weather. If the forecast predicts rain, consider planning indoor activities as backups. Here are some adaptive ideas based on different weather conditions: Rainy Day : Visit a local museum or art gallery, or schedule a movie marathon at home with your favorite snacks. Sunny but Hot : Plan your activities for early morning or late evening to avoid peak sun hours and consider heading to shaded areas or a pool for relief. Cold and Windy : Opt for group activities that can be done inside, like cooking classes or board game nights. Remember, staying safe means being proactive rather than reactive. Keep an eye on the weather and prepare to pivot your plans as needed. Staying Informed on Local Alerts In addition to personal preparations, keeping abreast of local alerts is crucial for safety. Weather warnings vary by region; some areas may issue flood warnings, while others might issue winter storm warnings. Understanding when and how to act according to local alerts can be lifesaving. Check local government websites or social media pages that often provide updates about weather emergencies or road conditions. The National Weather Service and local authorities frequently issue advisories and warnings based on the latest atmospheric conditions. Staying informed allows you and your family to react promptly to any potentially harmful weather events. Final Thoughts on Weekend Preparedness Being prepared for changing weekend weather conditions can lead to a smoother and more enjoyable experience, whether at home or outdoors. By understanding the weather patterns, checking reliable sources, preparing a weather kit, and adapting your plans accordingly, you can navigate any unpredictability that comes your way. Whether you are an outdoor enthusiast, a family planning a fun weekend, or simply someone looking to stay safe and informed, these tips will keep you ready for anything the weather may bring. Don't forget to monitor the weekend snow forecast for any wintery surprises that could affect your plans!

Get ready for a mix of light snow, rain, and a blast of Arctic air in New England over the next few days. While we’re not expecting any major storms, there will be a few chances for wintry weather before an intense cold snap arrives early next week. Here’s what you need to know: TONIGHT-FRIDAY MORNING | Minimal Impact A weak system will move through tonight, bringing mostly cloudy skies and possibly a few snow flurries. This system, known as a "mid-level shortwave trough," is a disturbance in the atmosphere that can trigger some light precipitation. Think of it as a ripple in the air that stirs things up just enough to create some clouds and maybe a few flakes. Any snow will be very light, and the best chance to see it is on Cape Cod and the Islands, where the ocean might add a little extra moisture to the mix. What to Expect: Mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of flurries. A dusting of snow possible near coastal areas, especially Cape Cod and the Islands. SATURDAY-SUNDAY MORNING | Low Impact A frontal system will sweep through New England this weekend, bringing warmer air on Saturday followed by cooler air late Saturday into Sunday. Ahead of the cold front, a "low-level jet" – a fast-moving river of air a few thousand feet above the surface – will pump in warmer air, pushing temperatures into the 40s in much of southern New England. What This Means: Breezy conditions with gusts of 25-40 mph, especially in areas like the Champlain Valley. Light rain showers for southern areas, with a mix of rain and snow showers farther north. Accumulations will be light and patchy. The cold front will move through Saturday night, bringing drier and cooler air by Sunday morning. SUNDAY AFTERNOON-MONDAY MORNING | Low to Moderate Impact As the cold front slows down near the coast, a small area of low pressure might form along it, leading to a quick burst of snow. Whether this happens and how much snow we see will depend on how quickly the cold air moves in and where the low-pressure system tracks. What Could Happen: Light snow is possible across southern New England, southern New Hampshire, and parts of coastal Maine. Accumulations of 1-3 inches are possible, but this depends on how the system develops. This setup, called an "anafrontal system," is unusual because it creates precipitation behind the cold front rather than ahead of it. It’s caused by warm, moist air rising over the colder air that’s moving in. ARCTIC OUTBREAK (MONDAY-WEDNESDAY) Get ready for some serious cold. Early next week, an Arctic air mass will plunge into New England, bringing the coldest temperatures of the season. This is tied to a weather pattern called the "Eastern Pacific Oscillation" (EPO). When the EPO is in its negative phase, it sets up a flow of frigid air from Siberia, across the Arctic, and down into the U.S. What to Expect: Highs in the single digits in northern areas and teens in southern regions. Lows below zero in northern New England, with some spots dipping to -20°F in sheltered valleys. Wind chills will make it feel even colder, with values between -15°F and -25°F across the region. Be aware of updated cold weather alerts: the National Weather Service now uses "cold weather advisories" and "extreme cold warnings" instead of wind chill advisories and warnings. LOOKING AHEAD By mid-next week, a storm system is expected to develop near the Gulf of Mexico. Where it goes after that depends on whether the Arctic air sticks around. If the cold holds its ground, the storm will likely stay offshore. But if the cold retreats, we could see more interaction with the eastern U.S. What to Watch For: The timing and path of the southern storm. Whether it interacts with the cold air to bring wintry weather to New England. In Summary Over the next few days, expect a mix of light snow and rain before the arrival of a powerful Arctic blast early next week. Temperatures will plummet, and the cold will be intense, so prepare for it now. Stay tuned for updates as we fine-tune the details of the weekend’s snow chances and the long-term forecast. Prepared by:  New England Weather Consulting

As we bid farewell to 2024 and ring in the new year, New England’s weather is shaping up to be dynamic and ever-changing. From a fast-moving cold front to a soaking rainstorm on New Year’s Day, followed by cooler and breezy conditions to start 2025, there’s plenty to discuss for the days ahead. Let’s break it all down! Today: A Rainy, Windy Start, Clearing by Afternoon This morning, a cold front will sweep through southern New England, bringing a brief but intense round of heavy rain and gusty winds. You can expect 0.5–1 inch of rainfall, with the heaviest amounts likely during the morning commute. Urban areas may experience minor ponding, so leave extra time if you're hitting the roads. Southerly winds will gust between 30–35 mph, with isolated gusts near 40 mph along the South Coast and Cape Cod. Once the rain moves offshore by late morning, skies will clear quickly from west to east. Morning highs in the mid to upper 50s will gradually fall into the mid-40s to near 50°F by the afternoon as cooler air filters in. Tonight, partly cloudy skies will prevail, with lows dropping into the mid-30s inland and upper 30s near the coast. Tuesday: A Calm Close to 2024 Tuesday offers a brief reprieve from active weather, with dry and mild conditions during the day. Skies will be partly cloudy in the morning, but clouds will thicken during the afternoon as the next system approaches. Highs will climb into the upper 40s to mid-50s, though earlier cloud cover may temper temperatures in some areas. Rain showers will move in after sunset, leading to a damp and mild night with lows in the mid-30s to low 40s. New Year’s Day: Starting 2025 with Rain The first day of 2025 will bring widespread rain as a low-pressure system tracks through the region. The rain will be heaviest during the morning and early afternoon, with totals ranging from 0.5 to 1 inch. While temperatures will stay above freezing—rising into the upper 40s to mid-50s—colder air will rush in behind the system during the evening. Overnight lows will dip into the low 30s inland and mid-30s near the coast, and higher elevations may see a brief period of snow showers as the system exits. Looking Ahead As we turn the page to 2025, the weather will be a mix of fast-moving systems, tranquil interludes, and classic New England variability. Whether you’re traveling, making plans for New Year’s celebrations, or just enjoying the holiday break, we’ve got you covered with the latest updates. Check back here or follow us on social media for real-time weather alerts and tailored forecasts. From all of us at New England Weather Consulting , we wish you a safe and happy start to 2025!

By New England Weather Consulting As we approach the Thanksgiving holiday, the weather pattern is lining up for what could be a significant storm Thursday into Friday. Whether you’re hitting the road or catching a flight, it’s crucial to keep an eye on this evolving system. Here’s what we know so far and how it could impact travel across New England. The Storm: A Complex Setup A low-pressure system is expected to develop midweek and track toward the Northeast by Thursday. The storm’s exact track and intensity remain uncertain, but it has the potential to bring heavy rain, strong winds, and even some snow to parts of the region. Timing and precipitation type will be key in determining travel impacts. Let’s break down the possible scenarios: Scenario 1: Coastal Track (Most Likely) Timing:  Rain begins Thursday morning and intensifies through the afternoon, continuing into Friday morning. Impacts: Rain:  Heavy rain could lead to localized flooding, especially in urban areas and along the coast. Winds:  Gusty winds of 30-50 mph could impact flights and cause delays, particularly at Logan Airport in Boston. Snow:  Moderate, confined to higher elevations in northern NH and VT late Thursday night. Road Travel:  Wet roads and reduced visibility due to heavy rain, especially during peak travel times Thursday evening. Scenario 2: More Westerly Track (Warmer Option) Timing:  Precipitation starts later, Thursday afternoon into Friday. Impacts: Rain/Snow Mix:  Interior areas (western MA, southern VT/NH) could see snow transitioning to rain, leading to slick roads. Winds:  Still breezy, but wind gusts more moderate (20-35 mph). Road Travel:  Snow-covered roads possible in the higher elevations; mixed precipitation could slow travel in northern and western areas. Scenario 3: Offshore Track (Least Likely) Timing:  Precipitation, if any were to occur, arrives late Thursday or early Friday and remains lighter. Impacts: Rain:  Coastal areas see lighter rain, with the possibility of seeing no precipitation at all. Snow:  Greater chance for snow flurries inland, particularly in central/western MA, NH, and VT. Winds:  Winds stay calmer, minimizing airport disruptions. Road Travel:  Little to no impact for coastal highways like I-95. Best Timing for Travel Wednesday:  Likely the best day for travel, with dry weather and calmer conditions. Thanksgiving Day (Thursday):  Increasingly wet/windy later in the day, particularly in the afternoon and evening. Friday:  Lingering precipitation and gusty winds may still cause slowdowns, particularly in the morning. What to Watch For Storm Track:  A shift west means more snow inland; a shift east means lighter impacts overall. Wind Speeds:  Could lead to flight cancellations/delays, especially on Thursday. Road Conditions:  Monitor for slick spots in interior regions if snow mixes in. Keep checking for updates as the forecast comes into sharper focus midweek. Safe travels, and have a wonderful Thanksgiving! 🦃🍁 #NewEngland #Weather #ThanksgivingTravel #HolidayForecast By New England Weather Consulting

Winter Weather Outlook 2024-2025: Boston Metro Area By New England Weather Consulting As the winter season approaches, many in the Boston metro area are eager to know what’s in store. Will we see above-average snowfall? A mild winter? New England Weather Consulting is here with the forecast, tailored specifically for Greater Boston and the surrounding communities. Overview The winter of 2024-2025 in the Boston metro area is expected to be dynamic, with temperature and precipitation patterns influenced by a strong El Niño. For New England, a typical El Niño winter can mean a mix of warmer temperatures and increased precipitation, but the intensity and timing can vary. Here’s what we anticipate this year: Temperatures : Warmer than average Snowfall : Near to slightly below average Storm Frequency : Potentially fewer but stronger systems Let’s dive into the details. Temperature Outlook Boston is expected to see warmer-than-average temperatures, particularly in December and January. Current NOAA data and sea surface temperature anomalies in the Pacific indicate a strong El Niño phase. El Niño winters often bring a milder pattern to the Northeast, though brief cold snaps are still likely, especially in late January and early February. Temperature Projections : December : +2°F to +4°F above average January : +1°F to +3°F above average February : Near normal, with potential for brief colder periods Map: Temperature Anomaly Projections for Winter 2024-2025 ( Image credit: NOAA) Snowfall Outlook For snow lovers, there’s both good and bad news. While a mild winter can reduce snowfall, the strong El Niño can bring intense coastal storms with heavy snowfall rates. Boston typically sees around 49 inches of snow each season, but we’re expecting totals closer to 40-45 inches this year. This will largely depend on the storm tracks, which can be unpredictable in an El Niño year. The best chance for significant snowfall will be with nor’easters that track close enough to the coast to pull in cold air. The highest snow totals are expected inland from the I-495 corridor, with more rain/snow mix events likely near the immediate coast. Monthly Snowfall Estimates : December : Below average snowfall (less than 5 inches) January : Near average (10-15 inches) February : Slightly above average (15-20 inches) March : Average to slightly below average (6-8 inches) Precipitation and Storms With warmer sea surface temperatures fueling the atmosphere, we expect Boston to experience higher-than-normal precipitation this winter. The frequency of storms may be slightly lower, but those that do develop are likely to be stronger. Look for several rain-heavy nor’easters, which could bring flooding risks to coastal and low-lying areas. December and January : Expect more rain/mix events. February : Higher chance of snow as cold air entrenches. March : Potential for heavy, wet snow toward early March, with a rainier pattern later. Key Data Points Average Winter Temperature in Boston : Projected to be 1.5-2.5°F above normal. Total Snowfall : 40-45 inches (average: ~49 inches). Precipitation : 110-125% of average (Image credit: NOAA) Preparation Tips for Boston Metro Residents Salt and Ice Control : Prepare for a mix of ice, slush, and snow. With more rain/snow mix events, managing ice could be crucial this winter. Flood Preparedness : Coastal residents should prepare for potential flooding during stronger coastal storms, especially in areas prone to nor’easter-driven high tides. Heating and Insulation : Even with warmer-than-normal temperatures, brief cold snaps will still occur, so be prepared for quick temperature swings. Closing Thoughts The 2024-2025 winter season in Boston will likely bring a mix of mild periods interspersed with intense storms. Snowfall may be slightly below normal overall, but a few significant events could still bring impactful snow totals. As always, stay updated with trusted local sources for the latest on each approaching storm. For those in landscaping, snow removal, and property management, be prepared for variable conditions, as rapid temperature changes and mixed-precipitation events could present unique challenges. Stay safe, and here’s to a manageable winter season! Brought to you by New England Weather Consulting